1206.5849 (Nicola Scafetta)

Understanding the complexity of the Lévy-walk nature of human mobility
with a multi-scale cost/benefit model    [PDF]

Nicola Scafetta

Probability distributions of human displacements has been fit with exponentially truncated L\'evy flights or fat tailed Pareto inverse power law probability distributions. Thus, people usually stay within a given location (for example, the city of residence), but with a non-vanishing frequency they visit nearby or far locations too. Herein, we show that an important empirical distribution of human displacements (range: from 1 to 1000 km) can be well fit by three consecutive Pareto distributions with simple integer exponents equal to 1, 2 and ($\gtrapprox$) 3. These three exponents correspond to three displacement range zones of about 1 km $\lesssim \Delta r \lesssim$ 10 km, 10 km $\lesssim \Delta r \lesssim$ 300 km and 300 km $\lesssim \Delta r \lesssim $ 1000 km, respectively. These three zones can be geographically and physically well determined as displacements within a city, visits to nearby cities that may occur within just one-day trips, and visit to far locations that may require multi-days trips. The incremental integer values of the three exponents can be easily explained with a three-scale mobility cost/benefit model for human displacements based on simple geometrical constrains. Essentially, people would divide the space into three major regions (close, medium and far distances) and would assume that the travel benefits are randomly/uniformly distributed mostly only within specific urban-like areas.

View original: http://arxiv.org/abs/1206.5849